General electorate
Stuart Smith won by 11,412 votes in 2023. 5,706 voters switching to NZ First would have flipped Kaikōura.
Coverage naming Kaikōura or Stuart, from our tracked feeds.
The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.
2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.
No coverage naming Kaikōura or its MP yet in our tracked feeds — this fills in automatically as outlets report on the race.