All battlegrounds
Safe battleground
Kaikōura
General electorate
—
days to election day
What it takes to flip this seat
?
Stuart Smith won by 11,412 votes in 2023 — 5,706 voters switching to a challenger would have flipped Kaikōura.
In the news
Coverage naming Kaikōura or Stuart, from our tracked feeds.
No coverage naming Kaikōura or its MP yet in our tracked feeds — this fills in automatically as outlets report on the race.
The roster
The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.
2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.