Election Battlegrounds
2026 election →Seats to watch
Every electorate has a battle page — the closest 2023 contests are most likely to change hands in 2026, but every seat, safe ones included, has its own defender, record and contest to follow. Hotter colours mean tighter races.
The two rolls cover the same land — view one at a time.
Tap a seat
Hotter colours are the closest 2023 contests — the seats most likely to change hands.
Ultra-marginal: 11
Marginal: 10
Competitive: 11
Safe: 38
Every seat, ranked by margin
Closest races first — filter to a tier, or browse them all.
Mt AlbertUltra-marginal
Helen White · Labour
2023 majority 18Battle
NelsonUltra-marginal
Rachel Boyack · Labour
2023 majority 26Battle
Te AtatūUltra-marginal
Phil Twyford · Labour
2023 majority 131Battle
Banks PeninsulaUltra-marginal
Vanessa Weenink · National
2023 majority 396Battle
Te Tai TokerauUltra-marginal
Mariameno Kapa-Kingi · Te Pāti MāoriMāori
2023 majority 517Battle
New LynnUltra-marginal
Paulo Garcia · National
2023 majority 1,013Battle
West Coast-TasmanUltra-marginal
Maureen Pugh · National
2023 majority 1,017Battle
WigramUltra-marginal
Megan Woods · Labour
2023 majority 1,179Battle
ŌhāriuUltra-marginal
Greg O'Connor · Labour
2023 majority 1,260Battle
Hutt SouthUltra-marginal
Chris Bishop · National
2023 majority 1,332Battle
TaieriUltra-marginal
Ingrid Leary · Labour
2023 majority 1,443Battle
Mt RoskillMarginal
Carlos Cheung · National
2023 majority 1,564Battle
Christchurch CentralMarginal
Duncan Webb · Labour
2023 majority 1,841Battle
Christchurch EastMarginal
Reuben Davidson · Labour
2023 majority 2,397Battle
RongotaiMarginal
Julie Anne Genter · Green
2023 majority 2,717Battle
WairarapaMarginal
Mike Butterick · National
2023 majority 2,816Battle
Te Tai TongaMarginal
Tākuta Ferris · Te Pāti MāoriMāori
2023 majority 2,824Battle
Ikaroa-RāwhitiMarginal
Cushla Tangaere-Manuel · LabourMāori
2023 majority 2,874Battle
Hauraki-WaikatoMarginal
Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke · Te Pāti MāoriMāori
2023 majority 2,911Battle
Palmerston NorthMarginal
Tangi Utikere · Labour
2023 majority 3,087Battle
East CoastMarginal
Dana Kirkpatrick · National
2023 majority 3,199Battle
Auckland CentralCompetitive
Chlöe Swarbrick · Green
2023 majority 3,896Battle
TāmakiCompetitive
Brooke van Velden · ACT
2023 majority 4,158Battle
KelstonCompetitive
Carmel Sepuloni · Labour
2023 majority 4,396Battle
MaungakiekieCompetitive
Greg Fleming · National
2023 majority 4,617Battle
Hamilton EastCompetitive
Ryan Hamilton · National
2023 majority 5,060Battle
WhanganuiCompetitive
Carl Bates · National
2023 majority 5,512Battle
Wellington CentralCompetitive
Tamatha Paul · Green
2023 majority 6,066Battle
NorthlandCompetitive
Grant McCallum · National
2023 majority 6,087Battle
ŌtakiCompetitive
Tim Costley · National
2023 majority 6,271Battle
Hamilton WestCompetitive
Tama Potaka · National
2023 majority 6,488Battle
New PlymouthCompetitive
David MacLeod · National
2023 majority 6,991Battle
ManurewaSafe
Arena Williams · Labour
2023 majority 7,113Battle
ManaSafe
Barbara Edmonds · Labour
2023 majority 7,324Battle
IlamSafe
Hamish Campbell · National
2023 majority 7,830Battle
Panmure-ŌtāhuhuSafe
Jenny Salesa · Labour
2023 majority 7,970Battle
DunedinSafe
Rachel Brooking · Labour
2023 majority 7,980Battle
EpsomSafe
David Seymour · ACT
2023 majority 8,142Battle
TakaniniSafe
Rima Nakhle · National
2023 majority 8,775Battle
RemutakaSafe
Chris Hipkins · Labour
2023 majority 8,859Battle
NapierSafe
Katie Nimon · National
2023 majority 8,909Battle
RotoruaSafe
Todd McClay · National
2023 majority 8,923Battle
Te Tai HauāuruSafe
Debbie Ngarewa-Packer · Te Pāti MāoriMāori
2023 majority 9,162Battle
NorthcoteSafe
Dan Bidois · National
2023 majority 9,270Battle
TaurangaSafe
Sam Uffindell · National
2023 majority 9,370Battle
RangitīkeiSafe
Suze Redmayne · National
2023 majority 9,785Battle
InvercargillSafe
Penny Simmonds · National
2023 majority 9,874Battle
TukitukiSafe
Catherine Wedd · National
2023 majority 10,118Battle
RangitataSafe
James Meager · National
2023 majority 10,846Battle
Upper HarbourSafe
Cameron Brewer · National
2023 majority 11,192Battle
KaikōuraSafe
Stuart Smith · National
2023 majority 11,412Battle
WhangāreiSafe
Shane Reti · National
2023 majority 11,424Battle
MāngereSafe
Lemauga Lydia Sosene · Labour
2023 majority 11,712Battle
WaitakiSafe
Miles Anderson · National
2023 majority 12,151Battle
WaimakaririSafe
Matt Doocey · National
2023 majority 13,010Battle
PapakuraSafe
Judith Collins · National
2023 majority 13,519Battle
Taranaki-King CountrySafe
Barbara Kuriger · National
2023 majority 14,355Battle
Bay of PlentySafe
Tom Rutherford · National
2023 majority 15,405Battle
WaiarikiSafe
Rawiri Waititi · Te Pāti MāoriMāori
2023 majority 15,891Battle
BotanySafe
Christopher Luxon · National
2023 majority 16,323Battle
North ShoreSafe
Simon Watts · National
2023 majority 16,330Battle
TaupōSafe
Louise Upston · National
2023 majority 16,505Battle
SouthlandSafe
Joseph Mooney · National
2023 majority 17,211Battle
CoromandelSafe
Scott Simpson · National
2023 majority 17,349Battle
WaikatoSafe
Tim van de Molen · National
2023 majority 18,548Battle
PakurangaSafe
Simeon Brown · National
2023 majority 18,710Battle
Kaipara ki MahurangiSafe
Chris Penk · National
2023 majority 19,459Battle
SelwynSafe
Nicola Grigg · National
2023 majority 19,782Battle
East Coast BaysSafe
Erica Stanford · National
2023 majority 20,353Battle
WhangaparāoaSafe
Mark Mitchell · National
2023 majority 23,376Battle
Port WaikatoResult pending
Andrew Bayly · National
Result pendingBattle
Tāmaki MakaurauResult pending
Oriini Kaipara · Te Pāti MāoriMāori
Result pendingBattle
Marginality is based on the official 2023 winning margins (Electoral Commission). Tap any seat, on the map or in the list, for its battle page. 2026 candidates appear on each battle page as parties confirm them during the campaign.