Ultra-marginal battleground

New Lynn

General electorate

—

days to election day

What it takes to flip this seat

Paulo Garcia won by 1,013 votes in 2023 — just 507 voters switching to a challenger would have flipped New Lynn.

In the news

Coverage naming New Lynn or Paulo, from our tracked feeds.

No coverage naming New Lynn or its MP yet in our tracked feeds — this fills in automatically as outlets report on the race.

The roster

The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.

Won New Lynn by a majority of 1,013 in 2023 — a ultra-marginal seat.

Paulo Reyes Garcia is a New Zealand lawyer and politician. He is a Member of Parliament in the House of Representatives for the New Zealand National Party and the first New Zealand MP of Filipino descent.

Full MP profile

What Paulo has prioritised this term

Official roles, sourced from parliament.nz.

Select committees

Māori Affairs
Petitions

Legislative activity this term

From Parliament's official bills record, as at 24 June 2026.

No government bill in charge, members' bill passed, or members' bill currently in the ballot for Paulo this term — checked against the official record, not a gap in our data.

Battlegrounds map 2026 election

2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.