General electorate
Tim Costley won by 6,271 votes in 2023. 3,136 voters switching to a challenger would have flipped Ōtaki.
Coverage naming Ōtaki or Tim, from our tracked feeds.
The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.
2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.
No coverage naming Ōtaki or its MP yet in our tracked feeds — this fills in automatically as outlets report on the race.