Safe battleground

Waikato

General electorate

—

days to election day

What it takes to flip this seat

Tim van de Molen won by 18,548 votes in 2023 — 9,274 voters switching to a challenger would have flipped Waikato.

In the news

Coverage naming Waikato or Tim, from our tracked feeds.

No coverage naming Waikato or its MP yet in our tracked feeds — this fills in automatically as outlets report on the race.

The roster

The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.

Won Waikato by a majority of 18,548 in 2023 — a safe seat.

Timothy John van de Molen is a New Zealand politician. He is a Member of the House of Representatives for the Waikato electorate and a representative of the National Party.

Full MP profile

What Tim has prioritised this term

Official roles, sourced from parliament.nz.

Select committees

Foreign Affairs Defence and Trade

Legislative activity this term

From Parliament's official bills record, as at 24 June 2026.

No government bill in charge, members' bill passed, or members' bill currently in the ballot for Tim this term — checked against the official record, not a gap in our data.

Battlegrounds map 2026 election

2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.