General electorate
Carl Bates won by 5,512 votes in 2023. 2,756 voters switching to Labour would have flipped Whanganui.
Coverage naming Whanganui or Carl, from our tracked feeds.
The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.
2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.