All battlegrounds
Competitive battleground
Whanganui
General electorate
—
days to election day
What it takes to flip this seat
?
Carl Bates won by 5,512 votes in 2023 — 2,756 voters switching to a challenger would have flipped Whanganui.
In the news
Coverage naming Whanganui or Carl, from our tracked feeds.
No coverage naming Whanganui or its MP yet in our tracked feeds — this fills in automatically as outlets report on the race.
The roster
The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.
2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.