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Competitive battleground

Whanganui

General electorate

—
days to election day
Track
What it takes to flip this seat
Carl Bates
AR

Carl Bates won by 5,512 votes in 2023. 2,756 voters switching to Labour would have flipped Whanganui.

In the news

Coverage naming Whanganui or Carl, from our tracked feeds.

The roster

The defender's record, and who's confirmed to challenge them in 2026.

Won Whanganui by a majority of 5,512 in 2023, making it a competitive seat.

Carl Michael Bates is a New Zealand politician, representing the New Zealand National Party as a Member of Parliament since the 2023 New Zealand general election.

Full MP profile
What Carl has prioritised this term

Official roles, sourced from parliament.nz.

Select committees
  • Education and Workforce
  • Justice
Legislative activity this term

From Parliament's official bills record, as at 28 August 2026.

Members' bills passed into law (1)
  • Juries (Age of Excusal) Amendment Bill
Members' bill in the ballot (1)
  • Employment Relations (Mediation Services) Amendment Bill
Battlegrounds map2026 election

2023 result and margin: Electoral Commission. 2026 candidates are added only once officially confirmed — never assumed.

The Platform· 24 Aug
Why The ‘Conservative’ Māori Should Come Out from the Shadows
Beehive (Govt)· 20 Aug
Sod turned on Waimarino Health Centre expansion